The Philippine Energy Plan 2020–2040, in the terms a plant can use

The Department of Energy's plan for the two decades to 2040 is the document every circular of the following years refers back to. It sets a renewable share of generation of 35% by 2030 and 50% by 2040, against about 21% in 2020, and it sits on top of the moratorium on new greenfield coal plants that the department declared in October 2020.

Compiled in September 2026 from the releases of the time, with the revisions the agencies have published since. Nothing here is a forecast.

The numbers in it

Renewable energy at 35% of generation by 2030 and 50% by 2040.

No new greenfield coal-fired plants; committed and expansion projects proceed.

Natural gas as the transition fuel, with imported LNG replacing Malampaya as the field declines.

Energy efficiency counted as a resource, under the 2019 Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act.

How the share is meant to move

Two instruments carry it. The Renewable Portfolio Standards oblige distribution utilities and retail suppliers to source a rising share of their sales from renewable sources, and the Green Energy Auction Program, published in 2020 and still to run its first round, procures the capacity to meet it. Both were designed for the grid. Neither says anything about a factory that generates its own steam.

Where a plant fits

A plant fits in two places. As a customer, it will be sold electricity with a rising renewable share and, eventually, a rising price for the balance. As a generator, a boiler burning its own residue is a renewable plant under the Renewable Energy Act, entitled to the same fiscal incentives as a solar farm, and its surplus can be sold under a feed-in or a bilateral contract.

What the plan does not do

It does not set a price on carbon and it does not regulate an industrial boiler beyond the Clean Air Act. The pressure on a plant comes from the fuel bill, the supply chain and the buyer's own reporting, not from this document. The plan tells a site which way the grid it depends on is going; the decision to stop depending on it is the site's own.

If your site runs a fuel-fired boiler or produces an organic residue, an energy and waste audit puts your own numbers against this. Tell us about your site and an engineer replies with the data we need. The figures behind each quarter are in the quarterly market brief.